超音速客機
檔案館
這站要回答一個問題:超音速客機是技術失敗、經濟失敗,還是制度失敗?
每一個數字都會標出處,出處本身會被存下來(sha256);還沒查證的一律標「待查」。One question: was the supersonic airliner a technical, economic, or institutional failure?
Every number carries a source, every source is archived with a sha256; anything unverified is labelled pending.
四個原因,不是一個Four causes, not one
常見說法是「油價殺了它」。這一站要把四層拆開,逐層給證據;哪一層缺資料就標缺。The usual story is that fuel prices killed it. This site separates four layers and shows the evidence for each; where evidence is missing, it says so.
制度Institutions
音爆禁令把超音速鎖在海上航線。原文可抓:eCFR §91.817。Sonic-boom rules pin supersonic flight to over-water routes. The text is fetchable: eCFR §91.817.
經濟Economics
票價、每座位公里成本、未回收的研發費是三件不同的事,不能相加。Ticket price, cost per seat-km and unrecovered development cost are three different numbers that cannot be added.
市場Market
只有兩家國旗航空長期營運;Braniff 1979–80 以雙註冊在美國本土做次音速營運。Only two flag carriers operated it long term; Braniff flew it subsonically inside the US in 1979–80 under dual registration.
心理Perception
2000 年事故之後,「優雅」被「危險」取代——但這條因果需要與 9/11、停產支援分開檢驗。After the 2000 crash, elegant became dangerous — but that claim has to be separated from 9/11 and the end of manufacturer support.
三個世代Three eras
同一套物理,三種工程與制度答案。Same physics, three engineering and institutional answers.
協和號 Concorde
1969 首飛、1976 營運、2003 退役。英法合造 20 架(含原型),只有兩家國旗航空長期營運。巡航 Mach 2.02、高度約 18,300 m。First flight 1969, service 1976, retired 2003. Twenty airframes built by Britain and France; only two flag carriers operated it long term. Mach 2.02 cruise at about 18,300 m.
Tu-144
比協和早飛(1968-12-31),卻在 1973 巴黎事故與 1977 客運後於 1978 退役。這一章要並列俄方與英法資料,不當協和的註腳。Flew first (31 Dec 1968) but retired in 1978 after the 1973 Paris crash and a brief 1977 service. This chapter sets Russian and Anglo-French sources side by side instead of treating it as a footnote.
未來 Future
2026 年的三態:已飛(X-59)、有訂單但未飛(Overture 等)、已死(Aerion)。訂單要拆成意向/確定/已付訂金,客戶可無賠償取消。Three states in 2026: flown (X-59), ordered but not flown (Overture and others), dead (Aerion). Orders split into LOI / firm / deposit, and cancellable without penalty.
建置進度Build progress
16 個單元,每一項都有自己的驗收指令;這一頁由資料檔產生,不是手寫。Sixteen units, each with its own verification command. This table is generated from data, not typed by hand.
| 單元unit | 內容scope | 狀態state | 備註note |
|---|---|---|---|
| U1 | 開站骨架與部署shell + deploy | done | 2026-10-31 上線,200 / SEO 27/27 |
| U2 | 來源盤點與歸檔20+ sources with sha256 | done | 22 個來源存檔 4.1 MB;5 個 403/404 已換 URL 或走 Wayback |
| U3 | 機體清冊airframes.json | todo | |
| U4 | 年表timeline.json | todo | |
| U5 | 航線與音爆routes.json + map layer | todo | |
| U6 | 技術章Olympus 593 / heat / delta | todo | |
| U7 | 錢章fares / seat-km / subsidy | todo | |
| U8 | 事故章#4590 + Tu-144 | todo | BEA 報告待定位 |
| U9 | 一手引述people.json (12 quotes) | todo | 書庫無協和書 → 需官方口述史 |
| U10 | 未來章future.json 四態 | todo | X-59 首飛日待查 |
| U11 | 打卡/輪播/分享卡app.js + oggen | todo | |
| U12 | 掃描/自評/排程cron + seo_audit | todo | |
| U13 | Tu-144 章tu144.json | todo | |
| U14 | 環境章climate.json | todo | |
| U15 | 美國 SST 與法規regulation.json | todo | eCFR 已可抓 |
| U16 | 訂單三態與兩套帳orders.json + accounts.json | todo |
來源:先存下來,再引用Sources: archive first, cite second
22 個來源已抓成本地存檔,合計 4.9 MB 原始位元組,每一份都有 sha256。頁面上的數字只能指向這裡的某一份。22 sources archived locally, 4.9 MB of original bytes, each with a sha256. A number on this site has to point at one of these.
抓不到的(照實列,不用二手補)Could not fetch (listed, not papered over)
- bea — None · 0 B ·
- icao_env — 502 · 3313 B · https://web.archive.org/web/2024/https://www.icao.int/environmental-pr
這一版還缺什麼(誠實清單)What this version still lacks
v0.1 先把骨架、來源與自我驗證做好;內容章節按 16 個單元逐章補。v0.1 builds the shell, the source layer and the self-checks first; content fills in unit by unit.
- 沒有機體清冊與航線圖:U3/U5 未完成,所以這一頁沒有任何「幾架、在哪」的斷言。No airframe register or route map yet: U3/U5 are open, so this page makes no claim about how many or where.
- 沒有金額:票價與成本在 U7/U16,未查證前不放數字。No money numbers: fares and costs live in U7/U16 and stay off the page until sourced.
- 事故章缺一手:BEA 報告公開路徑今日回 404,U8 標 blocked。The accident chapter lacks its primary source: the BEA report path returned 404 today, so U8 is blocked.
- X-59 是否已首飛還沒落 src:目前只寫「NASA 的計畫」,不寫成已飛。Whether X-59 has flown is not yet sourced: the page only says it is NASA's programme.
方法:先存檔,再引用Method: archive first, cite second
每個來源抓原始位元組、記 sha256 與時間;頁面上的數字只能指向清冊裡的某一筆。抓不到就標 blocked,不用二手補。Every source is fetched as raw bytes with a sha256 and a timestamp; a number on the page may only point at an entry in that register. If it cannot be fetched, the unit is marked blocked rather than filled with second-hand text.
接下來看什麼What to watch
- X-59 的實際首飛日與地面聽到的噪聲值(PLdB)——這一格決定「安靜超音速」是不是真的。X-59's actual first flight and the measured ground noise (PLdB) — this is the number that decides whether quiet supersonic is real.
- Overture 的訂單從 LOI 轉成 firm/deposit 的比例——意向書可以無賠償取消。How much of Overture's book converts from LOI to firm or deposit — letters of intent can be cancelled without penalty.
- 各國是否修法允許陸上超音速——制度沒動,市場就不會動。Whether any country changes its rules to allow overland supersonic — without the rule change, the market does not move.
怎麼引用這一站How to cite this site
引用數字時附上本頁與來源 key;標 pending/spec 的內容不是事實。When you cite a number, link this page and the source key; anything marked pending or spec is not a fact.
版本Changelog
| 版本version | 內容what changed |
|---|---|
| 2026.10.31-7ba0c37 | v0.1 上線:骨架、22 個來源存檔(sha256)、進度表、SEO/AI 層、自我檢查。v0.1 live: shell, 22 archived sources with sha256, progress board, SEO/AI layer, self-audit. |
關於這個站About
一個人維護的檔案庫,跟 sr71.sean-hsu.com 同一套生產線:靜態生成、來源存檔、每週自評。內容純粹出於對這兩架機器的偏愛,不接任何航空公司或飛機製造商的合作。A one-person archive built on the same pipeline as sr71.sean-hsu.com: static generation, source archiving, weekly self-audit. It exists out of affection for these two machines; no airline or manufacturer is involved.